Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When it comes to recent second serve efficiency, Ugo Humbert has won 48.41% of points, compared to Matteo Berrettini's 43.12%. Could this be a deciding factor? It often is in predicting match outcomes.
• Ugo Humbert has been more effective in returning serves in recent form, winning 41.03% of opponent's second serve points, while Berrettini stands at 38.86%.
• Humbert also shows a clear edge in first serve returns with a 24.83% success rate against Berrettini's 20.60%.
• Berrettini has shown resilience under pressure by saving 62.32% of breakpoints, compared to Humbert's 56.49%. Can this ability save the match for Matteo?
• Over the past year, Humbert has a slightly better match win rate at 55.56% compared to Berrettini's 54.29%.
• Considering surfaces, both players have a career win rate of 64% on their preferred surfaces: Humbert on Hard and Berrettini on Grass.
• On the Main tour in the last year, Humbert has outperformed Berrettini with a 60.00% win rate against Matteo's 53.33%.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Berrettini leads with three wins out of four matches, taking 8 out of 10 sets played.
• The duo's most recent encounter was at the U.S. Open, where Berrettini won decisively in straight sets.
• Berrettini has faced tougher opponents on average, with their ranks at 53.8 compared to Humbert's 65.29 over the last year.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Berrettini has the upper hand, having won 50% of such situations compared to Humbert's 36%.

Editorial Prediction (October 16, 2025, UTC):

In this upcoming matchup, several factors could influence the outcome. Ugo Humbert demonstrates stronger recent second serve performance and return game success, which are critical components in match dynamics.

However, Matteo Berrettini excels at saving breakpoints and has consistently overcome Humbert in direct head-to-head contests. He also holds an advantage in decisive sets and has faced more competitive opponents in the past year.

While Humbert shows promise with slightly better recent win percentages and superior abilities on Hard courts, Berrettini's historical performance and ability to handle pressure suggest he is more likely to secure the win in their upcoming clash.

As a result, based on current and historical data, Matteo Berrettini is predicted to be the likely winner of this match.